No one can predict how the war with Iran will unfold | Rajan Menon and Dan DePetris
www.theguardian.com
The war has already become regional: Iran is attacking American-aligned Arab states in the hope that they will pressure Trump to sign a ceasefire
  • Paragone@lemmy.worldEnglish
    1·
    3 days ago

    My predictions:

    1. It gets messier, & more-inclusive!!
    2. IF Iran can be convinced to throw EVERYTHING into annihilating Netanyahu’s “Israel”, THEN Saudi Arabia’s going to mop-up the entire region, with no real competitors, whatsoever
    3. IF Iran can be convinced to hammer “Israel” so heavily/suddenly that Netanyahu’s “Israel” is too busy reacting against Iran to bother with anybody else ( except for their perpetual genociding of Palestinians ), THEN … Saudi Arabia may take advantage of that, to hammer Netanyahu’s “Israel” with annihilation, so long as Trump’s OK with that.

    ( background for this basic paradigm:

    Hamas’s intended-genociding of Israelis was idiotic pseudo-strategy: as Sun Tzu, now Sunzi, would have said, they knew neither themselves, nor their opponent.

    However, their unconscious strategy was both psychopathic & brilliant, & it’ll work, from what I can see:

    Sacrifice the Palestinians as “bait”, & get Netanyahu’s “Israel” to be chomping on them like a bulldog that won’t let go.

    Through the next few years, Netanyahu’s DarkTetrad { narcissism / machiavellianism / sociopathy-psychopathy / sadism } would remove “Israel”'s “deterrent” from the region, by converting more & more of the region into suicide-willing-troops who NEED the ANNIHILATION of Netanyahu’s “Israel”, at ANY cost …

    … & once there’s no “deterrent” anymore, then … then there’s nothing left except Netanyahu’s “Israel”'s murdering as many lives as it can, before it, itself, gets annihilated: a regional mass-shooting, iow.

    That Netanyahu’s “Israel” clings to a tiny subset of Ezekiel while rejecting Jeramiah & Isaiah, … kinda makes them a sick parody of Jewishness, and the “Not In My Name!!” Jews are rubbing that in the zionists’ faces, ongoingly.

    So, I consider the principle identified in the Jewish scriptures to be right: WHEN “Israel” turns against their-G-D, THEN their-G-D waits awhile, to put ALL the nails in their coffin, & then acts, through others, & annihilates their anti-Jewish establishment, & then they get contrite, again…

    It’s apparently a never-ending cycle, & I mean that not-only for Jews, I mean that for humankind, perpetually.

    Wasn’t the FLOOD ( the Laurentide Ice-Sheet of eastern North America, melting into the North Atlantic, rather suddenly ) of about 12-millenia ago claimed to be, in their bible, just such a correction?

    So, looong before Judaism, this pattern had been claimed, in their scripture, 6 “days as a 1000 years” & 6 “nights as a 1000 years” ago, as confirmed by archaeology ( without the religious-proof, just the physical-flooding-of-all-coastal-civilizations ) indicates?

    Anyways, beware of unconscious-strategy: humankind’s unconscious-strategy is to convert the world to rampaging-tantrum/pogrom, so that the tantrum/pogrom-winner gets to rule forever, without any moral-anxiety or considered-reasoning, which are the REAL enemies of ideology…

    & that’s exactly how humankind may force its own complete-extinguishment, this century, if it doesn’t grow TF up, enough, soon-enough: The Great Filter is that growing-up test that this is.

    So, Hamas’s unconscious strategy was psychopathic genius…

    & the whole Middle-East going up in conflagration, now?

    That too, is unconscious-strategy: regional-consolidation.

    That will be Saudi Arabia’s dominion, soon ( early 2030’s, complete, probably including all of Africa, since nobody there will be able to stand against the focus of Saudi Arabia’s expansion, from what I can see ).

    Trump’ll be warring on the Americas, EU abandoned to Putin ( China-backed ), Asia’ll go to China…

    Regional Consolidation stage, the 1st yang-stage of “armageddon”, as the Christians call it…

    7-ish years, it should last, once the tipping-point’s happened.

    Anyways, there’s your predictions:

    Middle-East conflagration, Netanyahu discarded by all, suddenly, sometime soon, Saudi Arabia winning the entire region fairly soon, don’t know if that takes 1-3y, but it shouldn’t take longer than that, certainly…

    & the rest is all dominoes.

    Once regional-consolidation’s done, in the early 2030’s, then the WAR begins, for whether China gets to be the world’s emperor, or not.

    Enjoy the next few decades, people: this is what the American Indians have been calling The Great Purification for the last 9 centuries or so. )

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