Oh stfu. You don’t even actually disagree and your comment is utterly incoherent.
I know these things because I was litterally running the statistical models to know these thing you dumb turd. And I posted the results here, regularly. And my models performed very well. Using them I was able to predict pretty much what happened as early as February and March
But this place had its head so squarely up its own ass about any obviously bad news for Biden being “misinformation”, the comments and posts would just get downvoted to oblivion.
You really need to just stfu most of the time. you really don’t know what the fuck you are talking about.
Let’s try this: Who has been the most unpopular president in all the time that they’ve been tracking the numbers? In your statistical models you’ve been running?
You are so utterly incoherent that its not even clear what fallacies you are actually engaging in. Like, its not even clear what psychotic projection you are actually making here.
What NYT talking point is it that you think I am parroting?
Identify what in my original comment you actually take issue with.
What NYT talking point is it that you think I am parroting?
The one that picks a metric where Biden is second-worst, and makes a huge histrionic deal about what a problem it is for Biden in this election that Biden is second worst, when Trump is the actual worst by that exact same metric.
Like I said, it is pitch perfect. It’s like a parody of how the NYT and mainstream press covered Biden in general. And, it is still true now that you’re changing the metric to the minimum of all the date ranges where they measured an approval rating, instead of the average. Although, yes, if you go back to Dubya you can find a week where his approval rating was worse than Trump’s worst week. Fair play on that part.
Who’s the president with the worst average approval rating over their entire term?
The one that picks a metric where Biden is second-worst, and makes a huge histrionic deal about what a problem it is for Biden in this election that Biden is second worst, when Trump is the actual worst by that exact same metric.
You are an idiot and arguing with the wrong person. I was making the argument that Biden would lose the election, should they run, midway through 2023. And thankfully, its all here, documented. You can’t catch me on this, because I’m probably the most consistent commenter on Lemmy in this regard.
Who’s the president with the worst average approval rating over their entire term?
Who cares? If you give a shit about the goal post you just move, you tell me why it matters.
Like I said, it is pitch perfect. It’s like a parody of how the NYT and mainstream press covered Biden in general. And, it is still true now that you’re changing the metric to the minimum of all the date ranges where they measured an approval rating, instead of the average. Although, yes, if you go back to Dubya you can find a week where his approval rating was worse than Trump’s worst week. Fair play on that part.
This is just non-sensible gobblety-gook that your word hole is vomiting out in lieu of having to back up what you originally said, because what you originally said was utterly incoherent. Dubya had a lower approval than Trumps worst approval for almost their entire second term. In Truman’s second term, at almost no point did the poll higher than Trump. Nixon polled at better-than-Obama levels for almost all of their time until scandal broke out.
Polling is always an instantaneous snapshot. “Average” polling over time is irrelevant because of the concept of time.
And for the analysis I was conducting, the only polling data set with sufficient longitude is the Gallup poll, because its the longest run consistently applied, methodologically consistent poll. There isn’t a different dataset I could have done my analysis on.
The point is that Trumps bad polling as outsider in 2024, is not nor ever had been, supportive of Biden as candidate. Biden was losing the election independently of anything that was happening with Trump. And like I’ve been trying to communicate the cavalcade of morons for decades now: Voting isn’t a binary, no matter how much you wish it was, and further, if you treat voting like a binary, as the harm reduction brain-rot-meme does, you will lose elections. Strategic voting as a strategy is a losing strategy in that it doesn’t get you the outcomes it should.
Trump being a bad candidate, and he was (you can check all of my comment and post history on this), doesn’t make Biden a better candidate, and voters always have another option which is to simply not show up.
Oh stfu. You don’t even actually disagree and your comment is utterly incoherent.
I know these things because I was litterally running the statistical models to know these thing you dumb turd. And I posted the results here, regularly. And my models performed very well. Using them I was able to predict pretty much what happened as early as February and March
But this place had its head so squarely up its own ass about any obviously bad news for Biden being “misinformation”, the comments and posts would just get downvoted to oblivion.
You really need to just stfu most of the time. you really don’t know what the fuck you are talking about.
Let’s try this: Who has been the most unpopular president in all the time that they’ve been tracking the numbers? In your statistical models you’ve been running?
Truman, Then Nixon, then W. Bush, Then Carter, then HW Bush, all had lower approval raitings, toolbag.
You are so utterly incoherent that its not even clear what fallacies you are actually engaging in. Like, its not even clear what psychotic projection you are actually making here.
What NYT talking point is it that you think I am parroting?
Identify what in my original comment you actually take issue with.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/116677/Presidential-Approval-Ratings-Gallup-Historical-Statistics-Trends.aspx
The one that picks a metric where Biden is second-worst, and makes a huge histrionic deal about what a problem it is for Biden in this election that Biden is second worst, when Trump is the actual worst by that exact same metric.
Like I said, it is pitch perfect. It’s like a parody of how the NYT and mainstream press covered Biden in general. And, it is still true now that you’re changing the metric to the minimum of all the date ranges where they measured an approval rating, instead of the average. Although, yes, if you go back to Dubya you can find a week where his approval rating was worse than Trump’s worst week. Fair play on that part.
Who’s the president with the worst average approval rating over their entire term?
You are an idiot and arguing with the wrong person. I was making the argument that Biden would lose the election, should they run, midway through 2023. And thankfully, its all here, documented. You can’t catch me on this, because I’m probably the most consistent commenter on Lemmy in this regard.
Who cares? If you give a shit about the goal post you just move, you tell me why it matters.
This is just non-sensible gobblety-gook that your word hole is vomiting out in lieu of having to back up what you originally said, because what you originally said was utterly incoherent. Dubya had a lower approval than Trumps worst approval for almost their entire second term. In Truman’s second term, at almost no point did the poll higher than Trump. Nixon polled at better-than-Obama levels for almost all of their time until scandal broke out.
Polling is always an instantaneous snapshot. “Average” polling over time is irrelevant because of the concept of time.
And for the analysis I was conducting, the only polling data set with sufficient longitude is the Gallup poll, because its the longest run consistently applied, methodologically consistent poll. There isn’t a different dataset I could have done my analysis on.
The point is that Trumps bad polling as outsider in 2024, is not nor ever had been, supportive of Biden as candidate. Biden was losing the election independently of anything that was happening with Trump. And like I’ve been trying to communicate the cavalcade of morons for decades now: Voting isn’t a binary, no matter how much you wish it was, and further, if you treat voting like a binary, as the harm reduction brain-rot-meme does, you will lose elections. Strategic voting as a strategy is a losing strategy in that it doesn’t get you the outcomes it should.
Trump being a bad candidate, and he was (you can check all of my comment and post history on this), doesn’t make Biden a better candidate, and voters always have another option which is to simply not show up.
It’s pronounced “gobbledy.”